









901. Huckabee Wants A 'Faith-based' Constitution
Comment #112720 by hungarianelephant on January 18, 2008 at 2:01 am
actually mythbusters proved that bulls are well behaved in china shops.
dont know if they tested elephants.
902. Dinesh D'Souza: Winner of the 2007 Bad Faith Award
Comment #112375 by hungarianelephant on January 17, 2008 at 2:18 am
Geoff - I was a little disappointed to see that the BBC article didn't call it a CULT.
903. Could there be a Darwinian Account of Human Creativity?
Comment #109999 by hungarianelephant on January 10, 2008 at 9:09 am
That's sarcasm, in case you're still having reading comprehension problems with my posts.
904. Could there be a Darwinian Account of Human Creativity?
Comment #109998 by hungarianelephant on January 10, 2008 at 9:08 am
wooter - Your point is pointless. Chickens, bees (with the God instinct, they make their hives as the best mathematician to save the space) sheep, cows,
905. Could there be a Darwinian Account of Human Creativity?
Comment #109561 by hungarianelephant on January 9, 2008 at 7:21 am
I have a new hypothesis. I reckon wooter is actually one of epeeist's early attempts at a creationist random comment generator, before he added the grammar checker module.
Am I right?
906. Could there be a Darwinian Account of Human Creativity?
Comment #109535 by hungarianelephant on January 9, 2008 at 6:51 am
You have to get in line because we have a very long line here for those who cannot answer my questions reasonably, rather being funny or humoring himself only. Please do not cut the line.
907. It was a bad year for God.
Comment #109515 by hungarianelephant on January 9, 2008 at 6:29 am
AndreG - My friend, you are missing the point I am trying to make. I will try once more: Majority of road users have no imput into the road rules. Your example with a flashing lights is not relevant because the use of flashing lights on the road wil not create the emergency situation. But if you try to cross the intersection against the red light then you will suffer the consequences. And no amount of road users breaking that particular rule will ever change the road rules.
908. It was a bad year for God.
Comment #109440 by hungarianelephant on January 9, 2008 at 4:27 am
AndreG - Well, we do not negotiate the road rules. And most of us do not set the road rules, it is done by professionals. Everyone else just either follow them or suffer the consequenses. And that's why we can't do the same for moral systems because it will create the mess on the roads. Indeed, the world is in mess just because of that.
909. Blind Faiths
Comment #109060 by hungarianelephant on January 8, 2008 at 8:33 am
I have said a few times that if Muslims had advanced technology they would not waste their time bombing pizza shops in Haifa, they would target the white house etc...
910. Could there be a Darwinian Account of Human Creativity?
Comment #108969 by hungarianelephant on January 8, 2008 at 3:42 am
I am now going to be haunted for the rest of the day by the image of chickens serving me their eggs and meat. "Would you like me to scramble them, sir? Bok!"
Has anyone ever heard of this Birmingham Palace? Is it a curry house?
911. Blind Faiths
Comment #108953 by hungarianelephant on January 8, 2008 at 3:12 am
Steve Zara - My view, for what it is worth, is that a religion consists of what people do who identify as being of that religion. One can insist all one likes that a religion permits this, or condemns that, but this does not matter if people regularly perform acts and claim it is inspired by the religion. The harmfulness (or benefits) of a religion should be defined by its effects, not its intent.
912. Did mozzies, not a meteor, do for the dinosaurs?
Comment #108565 by hungarianelephant on January 7, 2008 at 8:44 am
What a waste of time. It didn't even mention house prices once.
913. The battle of the butterflies and the ants
Comment #108526 by hungarianelephant on January 7, 2008 at 6:08 am
you know the well made banana debunks evolution everytime... =))
http://youtube.com/watch?v=9zwbhAXe5yk
914. Changing my Mind
Comment #108520 by hungarianelephant on January 7, 2008 at 5:52 am
Steve Zara - But I would be very resistance to accepting some of this methodology while it still had an association with homeopathy.
915. Researchers use neuroimaging to study ESP
Comment #108512 by hungarianelephant on January 7, 2008 at 5:29 am
rokort - Here in Ireland we have phone-in psychics on the radio. You can't even see the cards. It's terrific entertainment. The way it works is that every fourth caller has to be warned to be wary of something suitably non-specific. Otherwise people might get suspicious.
916. Changing my Mind
Comment #108504 by hungarianelephant on January 7, 2008 at 5:07 am
epeeist - I don't see why you couldn't do trials incrementally. There are some potential problems with incremental trials, for example when people find out that earlier trials have very positive, or very negative, findings. You tend then to get an enhanced placebo / nocebo effect, but these should be relatively minor issues.
What you'd still have to do is an overall design to meet the same objectives. It's not legitimate to have a number of small studies with different intentions and make inferences from the results. (That doesn't stop some pharma companies attempting to do so, but the FDA rarely lets them get away with it.)
There are lots of studies of the effectiveness of homeopathy, and the conventional narrative is that they do not show a meaningful effect. But what they actually show is that in comparing conventional vs. homeopathic remedies in treating a known and specific disorder, homeopathy is relatively ineffective. Which isn't the same thing at all.
917. Changing my Mind
Comment #108486 by hungarianelephant on January 7, 2008 at 3:43 am
All my posts these days seem to be about pharmaceuticals, but here goes:
qster - Regarding homeopathy, i refer you to a previous post where I propose that much alternative medicine is supressed by the medical establishment because there is very little money for them in such treatments. Are you aware of the amount of money injected that the main pharma companies make on their drugs. Who do you think funds the medical schools and training clinics, the doctors expensive trips away etc etc. It is very much in the interests of big pharma to ensure that every visit to the doctor ends with a prescription.
The only evidence that would be accepted by the establishment for the use of homoeopathy is that which would be sponsored by the pharma companies - is it likely to happen?
918. Monkey, Business
Comment #108472 by hungarianelephant on January 7, 2008 at 3:13 am
Roger Stanyard - Thanks for that perspective. 20 years of mistakes distilled into a few paragraphs.
This is the real problem, isn't it? If you don't have a coherent plan and a single-minded determination to follow it, the project will fail. The Shuttle programme chased three rabbits and ended up catching none of them.
This doesn't mean that all government projects will fail. As Rtambree points out, projects from Soyuz to Manhattan have succeeded. Nor does it mean that all private projects will succeed. Most IT projects never quite achieve what they were supposed to.
To make a spectacular mess, what you really need are essentially limitless funds and no clear purpose. The NHS' IT project is doomed to fail expensively, not least because no one can work out quite what it is for. The difference in the private sector is that someone would have been fired, and the project shelved, long before now.
919. Monkey, Business
Comment #108469 by hungarianelephant on January 7, 2008 at 3:04 am
lpetrich - Who is arguing for completely unregulated markets?
920. Monkey, Business
Comment #107165 by hungarianelephant on January 4, 2008 at 8:26 am
annabanana - Anyway, my point is that there are those drugs which are necessary to sustain life at all and those that simply improve the quality of life and sometimes help to elongate life.
Anyway, perhaps I am being to harsh on the pharmaceuticals sphere, but perhaps you are being a bit too forgiving.
I don't know if there's a point in arguing any longer since it seems that we will never come to a consensus.That is also possible :)
Rtambree - The Apollo program took about 10 years to come to fruition and cost many more times than that, without the need for private profits as you suggest.
921. Monkey, Business
Comment #107138 by hungarianelephant on January 4, 2008 at 7:08 am
epeeist - Would you consider the IT industry as commoditised? The largest software vendor is the least innovative and is actively acting to subvert other groups and organisations that are innovative.
922. Monkey, Business
Comment #107108 by hungarianelephant on January 4, 2008 at 4:54 am
Rtambree - I'd be inclined to agree that attempting to reduce competition is the norm in commoditised industries such as agriculture, where your chance of profit through innovation is very small.
What I don't see is any evidence that this is the case across industry more broadly.
923. Monkey, Business
Comment #107044 by hungarianelephant on January 4, 2008 at 2:15 am
annabanana - Well it seems we have at least some common ground. And it also seems that we're starting from completely different assumptions, and we may therefore never agree.
You start from the presumption that drugs are a special case; that as a result pharma companies should have their profits capped and should put the rest into charity and, presumably, subsidised medicines; and that only some innovations should be rewarded.
Since the pharma industry doesn't meet these standards, you describe its prices as "exorbitant", its actions as "abhorrent" and creating "pain and suffering around the world" and the industry as a whole as "kind of the devil". Others here have used less subtle language. And on the one hand, you'll agree that plenty of others are responsible for these ills, but you decline to apply these labels to them.
I disagree with your basic premiss.
Pharma is not a special case. It is a business like any other business. It innovates to a certain extent (more than most businesses, since that is where the money is), takes steps to protect its intellectual property, markets aggressively, and sells its products for as much profit as it can take. If it was making Playstations or cartoon characters, no one would have much to say about it. But because it's drugs, all bets are off.
The usual justification for this distinction is the one you use - that people "need" drugs whereas they only "want" other products. But this is illusory. When we say that we "need" something, what we really mean is that having it is a very high priority compared to the alternatives. People don't "need" the newest statin. They choose it - or more accurately their doctor recommends and prescribes it - because it is considered superior to an older, cheaper one, which in turn is considered superior to alternative remedies, or eating better and taking more exercise. That's fine, but it comes at a price.
(Before you say it, I'll freely admit that the alternatives are sometimes deeply unpalatable. Still, the example of insulin is a poor one. Insulin is dirt cheap and broadly available.)
As a society, we may choose to regard it as preferable that in some cases, where the alternatives are particularly unpalatable and the cost of the medicine is disproportionate to a patient's means, that that medicine should be available at a lower cost. But it's illogical to conclude without further discussion that the manufacturer should subsidise this. If a decision is being made by taxpayers generally, why shouldn't the taxpayer pay?
I think most people's reasoning is:
P1: drugs are expensive
P2: some pharma companies make lots of money
C: therefore all pharma companies are ripping us off
This is bollocks, and side arguments about marketing expenses and the independence of resesarchers won't change that.
You could mandate pharma companies to supply their drugs at lower prices, either generally or in specific cases, but in the long run this will result in fewer drugs being available, and the hardest hit areas will be those which have a relatively small patient population. This is not just a hypothesis. It is already happening. Some drugs are simply not made available in France or Spain because those countries refuse to pay a sensible price.
I know the pharma industry is not whiter than white, but I'd like people to think a bit more closely about what is actually happening and what they want to happen, before condemning it as evil.
I'll let others explain why it doesn't make sense to distinguish between different sized businesses with the same rate of return. al-rawandi, are you there?
924. Monkey, Business
Comment #106718 by hungarianelephant on January 3, 2008 at 10:09 am
anna – I'd love to debate you all day but I have to leave shortly.
I'm not sure why it makes a difference why I'm debating you ("vehemently" I will wear as a badge of honour).
I have said several times in this thread that the system is not perfect. You show your own thinking by framing the question as to whether the industry should be reformed. The whole point I am making is that the industry operates within a context, and that if you want it to operate differently then you have to change the context. Initial musings?
925. Monkey, Business
Comment #106710 by hungarianelephant on January 3, 2008 at 9:42 am
Rtambree, I don't want to get into a philosophical discussion about what capitalism is. The point I was making is that either you allow people to try to make a profit or you don't.
Certainly, people will try to make a profit by any means available. I'd take issue with the notion that they "usually" do it by reducing competition. If I were a farmer, I'd probably also be campaigning for subsidies and tariffs. That doesn't make me a bad person. It's the job of our lawmakers to ignore them (and, as I'm sure anna will agree, all other lobbyists) as far as possible.
926. Monkey, Business
Comment #106700 by hungarianelephant on January 3, 2008 at 9:29 am
al-rawandi
I didn't hear of that case, but I really, really want it to be true. It's too funny not to be.
927. Monkey, Business
Comment #106697 by hungarianelephant on January 3, 2008 at 9:16 am
annabanana - If you shorten the patent life, then you shorten the period in which a return can be made. Certainly, it will result in that drug being made available in generic form i.e. cheaply sooner. But it will also make it less attractive to manufacturers to pursue it. In the medium to long term, this means fewer drugs being developed, which means less competition for those that are, which means higher prices for those that remain and higher profits for their manufacturers. Simple economics.
No, you asked why we attacked the pharmaceutical industry and not the farming industry. PART of my reasoning was because the farming industry isn't generally known for exploiting its customers and making huge profits as a result of the exploitation, but you don't agree with me about that, I'm sure.
People need to learn that many of the "ailments" they suffer will indeed be vastly improved with exercise and good diet.
928. Monkey, Business
Comment #106643 by hungarianelephant on January 3, 2008 at 8:12 am
annabanana
I've never known of the farming industry to be nearly as profitable as the pharmaceutical industry.
Secondly, we are attacking the pharmaceutical industry partially because that is what has been brought up and also partially because I imagine Rtambree and I both have a heart and are somewhat disturbed by the pain and suffering we see around the world. Some of which can be ascribed to the pharmaceutical industries ideals.
Also, you asserted that the the industry has become what it is due to regulatory framework, which is laughable.
Did you forget about lobbying???!!!! WTF, they are one of the biggest contributors to lobbying. What's the point of lobbying if you aren't influencing the regulatory framework.
929. Monkey, Business
Comment #106618 by hungarianelephant on January 3, 2008 at 7:51 am
annabanana – Kirk is not just a CEO, he's the founder of Shire. He created the company and built it up … and that's one person. Most CEOs are, I repeat, not billionaires.
If you find it abhorrent that an industry has the bottom line as its main goal, then you have to find the whole of Western capitalism abhorrent. How is it exploitation to make a product that people want to buy, and sell it to them? You've already conceded that you don't object to patents per se, and therefore that you don't object to a limited monopoly position per se. So what exactly is the problem here?
Rtambree – I see you edited post #234.
Here is your original claim:
Many of the pharmaceuticals get their research done with government support through university research and then all they do is wrap a plastic bubble around it, stick it on the shelf and call themselves "entrepreneurs"
According to NIH [National Institutes of Health], taxpayer-funded scientists conducted 55 percent of the research projects that led to the discovery and development of the top five selling drugs in 1995.
930. Monkey, Business
Comment #106602 by hungarianelephant on January 3, 2008 at 7:35 am
>Not all profit is evil, even pharma profit.
I didn't say it's evil. I just corrected hungarianelephant's naive assertion that Pharma are in "business of improving people's lives", made in post #230.
931. Monkey, Business
Comment #106594 by hungarianelephant on January 3, 2008 at 7:31 am
RtambreeThey're in the business of maximising profits. If it improves lives as a consequence, that's great. But if they can do it through overpricing, price-fixing, stifling competition, inventing new diseases, paying consultants off in peer-review, lobbying for favourable government legislation and research subsidies, selling harmful or non-effective medicines, etc, they'll employ that too - whatever it takes.
932. Monkey, Business
Comment #106574 by hungarianelephant on January 3, 2008 at 7:04 am
Rtambree
>Evidence, please.
Plenty already given in #192
933. Monkey, Business
Comment #106571 by hungarianelephant on January 3, 2008 at 6:56 am
annabanana – 20 years is the maximum taking all the extensions into account. There's an additional case where the drug is off-patent, or its patent expires very soon after approval to market, but you brought it through its clinical trials. In that case, you can get a period of "data exclusivity", which means that someone else can produce the same drug but would have to produce their own data. This seems reasonable, otherwise you would never get people to invest in good, off-patent drugs.
You can certainly repatent a drug for a new indication, assuming of course that you hadn't already discovered it, but that won't affect the expiry date for the original indication. To get the new indication approved, you still need to go through most of the vastly expensive testing process. You may be let off some of the initial safety testing if there is lots of data available. And that's the same whether you created the original drug or not. There are plenty of niche companies finding new uses for older medicines created by someone else. What's the objection?
I am no fan of most pharma CEOs, but they are not billionaires. They are not even noticeably overpaid by comparison to CEOs of comparable sized corporations (which admittedly is not saying much). Of course what matters is the bottom line. That's business. But no amount of marketing will turn a poor drug into a good one. The bottom line looks healthiest when they produce good drugs which benefit real people's lives.
I find it very peculiar that people view pharma companies as "the devil" – your words – when they are in the business of improving lives. Few would put such a label on a doctor, farmer or songwriter, and only the most zealous would even apply it to a homeopath. Why do you suppose this is?
934. Monkey, Business
Comment #106524 by hungarianelephant on January 3, 2008 at 4:42 am
annabanana – Apologies for the delay in replying.
As you picked up in later posts, the pharma company has a patent lasting up to 20 years. But this is from the time of discovery, not commercial launch. Given the time R&D takes, you will typically get a maximum of 7 years of exclusivity.
This doesn't entitle them to set "whatever cost they like". They can set whatever cost the market will bear. Insurers frequently refuse to cover certain treatments at certain prices, and pricing is often a sticky issue within the industry. The drugs which attract huge prices are the ones which address an unmet medical need, which can be more expensive to treat if the drug isn't available. For example, there are a few promising Alzheimers treatments in development, and I would expect a successful one to be very highly priced. $50k a year sounds a lot until you realise that managing the terminal decline of a patient costs twice that.
Of course, the market price will be very much higher if there is no competition because of an effective patent in place. That's the price of the patent system. If that goes, so does R&D. I think you acknowledge this in some of your later posts. Your other alternative is to shorten it. That means a shorter window for the pharma companies to make a return on their very substantial investment. And that means one of two things – either the price goes up or fewer drugs will be developed.
Naturally, pharma companies will try to extend their effective patent life by various means. They would be foolish not to. The main one is reformulation.
But you're quite wrong to assume that reformulation is always an illegitimate ploy. The mechanism of delivery can be very important. Taking a drug orally instead of intravenously is – all other things being equal – a huge advantage. So is being able to take your medication once a day instead of twice, or not having it tied to when you eat. These are better drugs than the ones they replace, not "the same drug". You can't assume that you get an extra 20 years, either. What you actually get is the length of time before someone else figures out how to achieve the same result by another means. Sometimes that's a matter of months.
There's a questionable practice of withdrawing the earlier drug from the market, so that competitors have to match the new one rather than the old one. But that's also a result of the regulatory regime. Take that up with the FDA.
It's also wrong to assume that all that matters is "across the board" effect. Some drugs don't work well in subsets of patients, and others have bad side effects in other patients. If an alternative appears which may work better or more pleasantly in a particular group, why is that a bad thing?
Rtambree #106108
Many of the pharmaceuticals get their research done with government support through university research and then all they do is wrap a plastic bubble around it, stick it on the shelf and call themselves "entrepreneurs".
935. Mother Nature is Not Our Friend
Comment #106087 by hungarianelephant on January 2, 2008 at 10:45 am
Steve Zara - I said I was puzzled by Picard's baldness in Star Trek - would they not have advanced sufficiently to have cured baldness by that time?
Someone posted a response which made me feel rather silly: Surely they would have advanced sufficiently not to care about it!
I think (hope?) the same applies to homosexuality (mentioned earlier).
936. Monkey, Business
Comment #106078 by hungarianelephant on January 2, 2008 at 10:35 am
About the pharmaceutical industry:
You have to appreciate that the industry in its modern form is not the product of laissez-faire capitalism. Rather, it is the result of the regulatory framework around it.
For sensible reasons, we decided that new medicines must be rigorously tested for safety and efficacy. The net result of what is currently expected by the FDA is that new drugs cost, on average, between $800 million and $1 billion to get to market. Most drugs fail along the way. Rather obviously, as the cost is pushed up, so is the necessary reward for success. That is why your drugs are so expensive.
You can argue that they are overpriced - and it's certainly true that US consumers are subsidising the rest of the world - but you must appreciate that if the price is controlled, the result will be fewer drugs. Or alternatively, you could loosen the criteria for approval, which will result in more, but not necessarily better, drugs.
Vioxx, and the other Cox-2's, are essentially a product of an overly litigious system. They are a response to a specific problem of anti-inflammatories such as aspirin, ibuprofen and naproxen (NSAIDs). NSAIDs carry a small risk of gastric ulcers. A few of those ulcers will prove fatal. But importantly, there is no way of telling which patients will be the unlucky ones.
The Cox-2's do not have this problem. They were no more effective than the NSAIDs, and they cost many times more, but they weren't going to get a primary care physician sued for prescribing them. True, there were more incidents of heart problems, but the pre-marketing studies indicated that this was most likely a result of the known side-benefits of the NSAIDs being taken away. In fact, it turned out when looking at the results of millions of people that there were indeed adverse cardiac events. But this wasn't in the original data. When it did appear, the products were rightly pulled.
It's worth noting that most of the allegations made against Merck relate to the alleged suppression of admittedly scant evidence, and not to the original placing of the product. Merck has won most of its cases.
For sure, there are problems with the current model. It favours drugs for the mass market ahead of unmet medical need. And it makes it nigh impossible to deal with some disorders - such as strokes - where you can't pin down a primary endpoint. It also guarantees that power will be consolidated in the hands of a few pharmaceutical giants; the biotechnology industry as a whole actually loses money, while big pharma are amongst the most profitable companies in the world.
Blaming the industry for this is senseless. If you want to make improvements, look to the system in which it operates. Don't even think about centralised research. The Communist Bloc produced not a single novel treatment in its entire history.
Not wishing to single out a particular comment, but:
128. Comment #106013 by epeeist on January 2, 2008 at 9:23 am
Comment #105998 by al-rawandi
They spend a lot of that money on research for new drugs.
Not compared with the amount they spend on marketing.
Have a look at some of the efforts to stop countries with significant HIV problems manufacturing cheap anti-retrovirals.
937. Mother Nature is Not Our Friend
Comment #106011 by hungarianelephant on January 2, 2008 at 9:21 am
A secondary concern to me, a gay person, is the possiblility of gene-manipulation attempts to control sexual preference. Even in social environments where gays are accepted, potential parents are rarely neutral on the subject. While no one is ever going to genetically control race, there are many who openly espouse genetic control of sexual preference. (esuther - 105954)
For instance, I am pretty sure that many people would like to find a way to screen out "gay genes" and other attributes deemed undesirable. (Bonzai - 105840)
938. Three wise men just legend: archbishop
Comment #101425 by hungarianelephant on December 20, 2007 at 10:50 am
black wolf - Which clearly shows that it's not principal honesty about lack of evidence and therefore retracting unjustified conclusions keeping them going. It's defensive behavior for protecting core beliefs, doctrines or dogmas, being such inspite of their equally unevidential sillyness because they were so defined by others for no better reason than provision of an intently divisive framework.
939. This deadly religious resistance to vaccinations
Comment #101291 by hungarianelephant on December 20, 2007 at 7:27 am
I do get the impression from time to time that some people here are running around looking for grievances against religion, as if there weren't enough real ones.
Thanks to SharrieG and k1mgy for injecting some clear-headedness into the thread.
940. Three wise men just legend: archbishop
Comment #101268 by hungarianelephant on December 20, 2007 at 6:56 am
This is not a very good report of what the Archbish said. It's much clearer from other reports that what he's really saying is that some of the stuff around Christmas doesn't have a biblical basis.
Big deal. The Vatican has got rid of the stable theme this year and is portraying the birth of Jesus as being in Joseph's house, which is what Matthew's gospel says.
But the part that made my brain burp was this:
He went on to say that while he believed in it himself, new Christians need not leap over the "hurdle" of belief in the virgin birth before they could join the church.
I believe in God, the Father Almighty,
the Creator of heaven and earth,
and in Jesus Christ, His only Son, our Lord:
Who was conceived of the Holy Spirit,
born of the Virgin Mary,
suffered under Pontius Pilate,
was crucified, died, and was buried.
He descended into hell.
The third day He arose again from the dead.
He ascended into heaven
and sits at the right hand of God the Father Almighty,
whence He shall come to judge the living and the dead.
I believe in the Holy Spirit, the holy catholic church,
the communion of saints,
the forgiveness of sins,
the resurrection of the body,
and life everlasting.
941. Do the laws of God trump those of man?
Comment #101226 by hungarianelephant on December 20, 2007 at 5:48 am
wooter - I appreciate that comment 101194 addresses steve and not me, but if I may be so bold:
The basic problem with all of your questions is that they make a big assumption: that the planet and everything on it exists for our benefit.
You've probably made another assumption too, which is that the world has not been around for very long. That's understandable - it's very difficult for humans to comprehend geological time. The Industrial Revolution seems like a very long time ago, but in geological terms it's nothing - barely the blink of an eye. The evidence we have is that the Earth is 4.5 billion years old. That's 64 million human lifetimes, one after another. A lot can happen in that time.
Once you ditch these assumptions and look down the other end of the telescope, you'll find that some answers start to fall into place.
Take your example of soil. You think of it as a factory for producing fruit and vegetables. But it doesn't really work that way at all. In nature, that soil is made up of thousands of different types of organisms. They all do their own stuff, some of them in competition with each other and some working together. As humans we see the carrot growing and tend to ignore the "dirt". That's what we eat and so that's what's important to us. In our heads, we may see the aim of the soil as to produce the carrot. Indeed, when we took up farming, we learned to harness the power of the soil to produce the carrot. But that doesn't prove an intention in nature. Nature doesn't care. The carrot is just one of the many surviving organisms - the one that's of most interest to us as carrot-eaters.
Or take your example of photosynthesis. (I don't think you've fully understood how it works, but we can skip that for now.) We regard it as the production of an essential life-giving substance: oxygen.
Other organisms would take a very different view of this. Oxygen is highly corrosive and dangerous. Chemically, it is quite similar to fluorine, which is used for etching glass. When the first cyanobacteria started producing oxygen, it caused a crisis for all the other lifeforms on earth. It was a pollutant, incompatible with life. Of course, what happened was that those organisms which could cope survived, and those which could not died out. And others changed in such a way that they could thrive on it. Eventually giving rise to us.
If you're genuinely looking for explanations for why things are as they are, there are plenty of good books. I'd recommend Bill Bryson's A Short History Of Nearly Everything as a good starting point. Some here would find it rather simplistic, but it's intended for non-scientists and it's very readable. But to be honest, you may not get a lot out of it unless you're prepared to suspend for a while the assumption that the Earth is made for Man, and instead consider the possibility that Man is evolved for the Earth.
942. Do the laws of God trump those of man?
Comment #101211 by hungarianelephant on December 20, 2007 at 5:17 am
Since no one else is picking this up directly:
wooter - Praying and prayers go with the belief. If you want to prove that all prayers of believers go unanswered, you have to go check on all believers and confirm that they do no get answer. For me, If I prove it for one person, it will be enough. A lot of believers today they pray to God and they get their answers.
943. What Your Brain Looks Like on Faith
Comment #101135 by hungarianelephant on December 20, 2007 at 1:32 am
ADH - Any rational individual on this site will see that his is just crass - on a par with 19th century Phrenology. What would neuroimaging of "faith" actually prove? It would prove that our brain is physically, "mechanically" if you like, involved in the act of believing in God or in any other religious proposition. So what? How does that impinge upon the content of the proposition? Maybe neuroimaging will prove different in the presence of a belief statement than in the presence of a fact statement: eg "Chevrolet make trucks". What about the statement "My wife (mother/son/husband etc.) loves me". Would this be represented as a "faith" statement or as a "fact statement"? What implications would it have in the event of it being the former? Would it actually be, in itself, a reason for doubting the truth of the alleged "love"?
944. Abstinence Programs Face Rejection
Comment #100731 by hungarianelephant on December 19, 2007 at 8:24 am
While I am no supporter of abstinence education, does anyone really think that sex education in the UK over the last 40 years has been a resounding success?
945. 'Boycott Worked': Compass Flops - Opening Weekend $26 Million; Narnia $63 Million
Comment #96861 by hungarianelephant on December 11, 2007 at 2:51 am
And ease up on demonizing Catholicism-no other religion has done more to promote human rights, science and goodwill.
946. This deadly religious resistance to vaccinations
Comment #96859 by hungarianelephant on December 11, 2007 at 2:48 am
Not a scientist, but:
There's no increased threat to those who have been effectively vaccinated. Not all vaccinations are effective.
The vaccination programme works generally by reducing the number of susceptible people, which in turn reduces the risk of epidemic. If you were the only person in the world not vaccinated against polio, for example, you are not going to catch it because you have no one to catch it from.
The programmes are substantially effective when 95-98% of the population are vaccinated, depending on the disease. The remaining 2-5% who are not vaccinated, together with the small number whose vaccines are not effective, together make up a small enough population that epidemic is very unlikely.
If you increase the number of unvaccinated, you increase the risk of epidemic exponentially. Those affected will primarily be the unvaccinated, but the not-effectives will also be at an exponentially greater risk.
So, yes in some cases, no in most.
947. An Open Letter to Richard Dawkins
Comment #96854 by hungarianelephant on December 11, 2007 at 2:35 am
Newton30 - "Only" around a quarter of the Jewish people who died in the Holocaust were deliberately executed. Most of the rest, even in the camps, died of starvation or disease. This doesn't seem all that different from sending people to the gulags to me. Not much of an excuse, of course.
948. An Open Letter to Richard Dawkins
Comment #96849 by hungarianelephant on December 11, 2007 at 2:28 am
I began our debate by reminding you of that day in March of the year 2000 when John Paul II, supported by his then "deputy for doctrine," Joseph Ratzinger (future Benedict XVI), made an unprecedented plea for forgiveness for the evils committed throughout history by Christians. The Inquisition was front and center. Although the role of the Church in the horrors of the Spanish Inquisition is regularly exaggerated by simplistic readings of history, in his public prayer of atonement John Paul II focused only on the Church's role in this fanaticism. During that 350 year period of history, it is estimated that 5,000- 10,000 people were put to death in the name of orthodoxy. John Paul II likewise asked forgiveness for other types of bigotry and violence carried out by Christians.
949. This deadly religious resistance to vaccinations
Comment #96843 by hungarianelephant on December 11, 2007 at 2:17 am
Blame religion if you like, but you'll be missing the point.
Much of the public is deeply sceptical of science in general and medical science in particular. Its macro achievements, such as the eradication of smallpox and polio, are not what most people see. They go to their doctor and are given 8 minutes and a prescription. If it looks serious, they will go onto a 6 month waiting list for further tests.
Meanwhile, they are fed a daily diet of condensed summaries of what "scientists" say they should do: eat more greens, or less greens; direct sunlight for vitamin D, but avoid it because of skin cancer; two drinks is a binge; etc. With no proper understanding of what science is - because schools don't teach it properly - and no grasp of how the media distort scientific research, people feel pushed around by an amorphous scientific establishment.
There's no doubt that vaccination has saved many thousands, if not millions of lives. But there are also some people who do not tolerate them well. Among them are my parents - and as children our GP advised against innoculating us. As an adult, I have had doctors attempt to refuse me as a patient unless I have all the jabs I missed as a child. Why? Because they are paid bonuses based on a particular percentage of their patients having a complete set of jabs.
When my own child's time came around, we were first told, "Do it anyway", then "Family history is immaterial" (this is in printed literature and is an outright lie), then "Do it in the hospital so they can resuscitate if there's a problem". Finally, after a serious adverse reaction to something else, it was acknowledged that vaccinating her might not be the smartest idea.
This just isn't good enough. People with some scientific knowledge appreciate that it really is a numbers game - that you can pretty much guarantee that there won't be an epidemic if you vaccinate 95% to 98% of the population, depending on the disease. But these are people's children. They will do everything in their power to prevent something bad from happening to them. Some people's concerns are unfounded - that a friend of a friend of someone they met in a pub had a child who was ill for 3 days after a jab. Others have genuine and reasonable concerns, which are being poorly addressed.
Resistance to vaccines, especially "new" ones, is by and large a resistance to the perceived power of the medical establishment - the same one, it should be noted, that told us thalidomide was safe and that injecting short kids with human growth hormone from ground-up pituiarty glands was a great idea. It may not be wholly rational but that is not the point. You are not going to get over it with the sort of condescension contained in this article.
950. Is Infant Male Circumcision An Abuse Of The Rights Of The Child?
Comment #96241 by hungarianelephant on December 10, 2007 at 8:14 am
It's not just a Jewish practice, even in origin. Muslims are also circumcised. And until fairly recently, soldiers in the US army.
I don't know why I know that.