251. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #246910 by Nairb on September 13, 2008 at 2:07 pm
Fanusi
Your point is based on the idea that before WW1 people thought that there would be no more major wars. Then they said the Great War would end all wars etc etc.
I agree humanity has a deep desire for peace.
But it hasnt fallen in our lap. So the question is will we continue to go in circles forever or is there a strong upward trend (with bumps)
The answer is there is continuous upwards progress.
You only need to look at the size of tribal society. 2000 years ago it was mabe measured in 100s or 1000s. Nowadays it is measured in Tens of millions. 300 years ago a region in France could go to war with another region. 50 years ago war was possible between european countries. Nowadays it is almost impossible to imagine.
Being extremely positive about human progress over the last 2000 and especially 100 years doesnt mean we close our eyes to the errors of the past.
252. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #246901 by Nairb on September 13, 2008 at 1:56 pm
Who would believe him if he said there was nukes in Iran.
Oh, I don't know - the Iranian mullahs, perhaps?
253. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #246897 by Nairb on September 13, 2008 at 1:50 pm
Titania
I appreciate you views.
I cant say I know much about American politics. However the difference between republicans and Democrats seem significantly less then say the Socialist party and extreme right parties here or elsewhere in europe.
The risks seem mainly to do with what judge might die and who might get nominated.
(It is strange that ethical issues get decided by judges rather then by politicians directly making laws.)
In the end however the fear mongering affects a rather slim range of voter intentions. (No one is advocating a form of racism)
However Far right parties in Europe do try to use Fear to leverage votes for their real racist agendas. Happily its no longer effective. The Zeitgeist has moved on.
It is more this attepted use of Fear that I am referring to.
254. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #246880 by Nairb on September 13, 2008 at 1:21 pm
2389. Comment #246863 by BrandySpears on September 13, 2008 at 12:19 pm
Fanusi, Excuse me. Daniel Pipes is the author of "Why the Left Loves Osama" and he quotes and extolls Lee Harris.
255. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #246867 by Nairb on September 13, 2008 at 12:33 pm
Fanusi
It is FEAR that is the Enemy. It is fear that is manipulated by the would be despots.Today people just switch to the next channel.Except that, while this sounds reasonable, the facts don't agree. It doesn't explain the fanaticism that is sweeping once more through the dar al-Islam,
256. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #246854 by Nairb on September 13, 2008 at 11:53 am
Fanusi
Are you playing "provocateur" again?
These tired old ideas have been played out.
Civilisation does learn. We now know how to recognise fascism and its ideas in its infancy. As a result it is highlighted in its infancy. Instead of having wars we point and laugh at it on blogs and websites and it just crawls back under its rock.
The gloom and doom scare tactics by Hitler dont work anymore because everyone has access to 100s of sources of information.
It is FEAR that is the Enemy. It is fear that is manipulated by the would be despots.
Today people just switch to the next channel.
FEAR doesnt sell.
257. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #245858 by Nairb on September 11, 2008 at 1:18 pm
Fanusi
In europe as you know Patriotism = Nationalism.
This was invented in europe to replace Feudalism.An improvement. But it hasnt been exactly a 100% unblemished record. Which is why for the past 60 years europe has been trying more or less successfully to move beyond petty nationalisms.
Sure we owe a debt to society. Beeting unthinkingly on another society is unnecessary however. And this has often happened through Nationalistic propaganda.
258. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #245849 by Nairb on September 11, 2008 at 1:11 pm
1997. Comment #245838 by Roger Stanyard on September 11, 2008 at 1:03 pm
Patriotism = the last refuge of the despot. Dr Johnson.
259. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #245824 by Nairb on September 11, 2008 at 12:51 pm
A lot patriotism and national pride in this thread. This is something that always makes me wonder if it makes any sense to be 'proud' of a country.
260. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #245812 by Nairb on September 11, 2008 at 12:42 pm
"There were several Iranians who requested asylum. One was gay and was sent home despite the fact that he would face death (interesting since the British won't send a suspect back to the US if he faces death). The other a political dissident who begged not to be sent home."
261. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #245796 by Nairb on September 11, 2008 at 12:31 pm
And unlike one European country, we didn't run away when we got bombed as a result.
262. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #245736 by Nairb on September 11, 2008 at 11:37 am
You lot voted in Bush twice, not the rest of the world.
263. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #245724 by Nairb on September 11, 2008 at 11:25 am
America is not the flavor of the month? What can I do, this must be in Europe, where "appease Islam" is now a national sport. So in that sense, I am glad the US isn't popular. But you are right, opinion of the US is poor, and its mostly the fault of Bush.
264. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #245266 by Nairb on September 10, 2008 at 1:07 pm
Switzerland has a very high proportion of hand gun owners (militia) and very low gun crime. The USA has (probably) lower ownership and more gun deaths.
Its not the guns, its the owners!
265. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #245240 by Nairb on September 10, 2008 at 12:40 pm
I am against guns and never lived anywhere where I would be worried enough to evn think about geyting one. Despite living in Sharialand Paris (sarcastic)
But the data doesnt seem entirely conclusive either way.
In France and other countries there are as many suicides by fireams per 100,000 as there is in the USA. But a lot less in Homicides here then the US.
This doesnt seem to support the idea that guns are the problem since people have enough access to kill themselves.
This data comes from here so I dont think its biased in any way.
http://www.gun-control-network.org/GF01.htm
266. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #245209 by Nairb on September 10, 2008 at 12:19 pm
Now in the US people have an irrational respect for wealth, be it earned or inherited. So in that sense I am socialist... the money is either a product of your work, or it isn't. Just because my father was wealthy, does not mean I am entitled to be wealthy.
I may come off as a conservative, but I would rather live in a country like Canada, Sweden or any other than live in the kind of world a Republican would build.
267. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #245202 by Nairb on September 10, 2008 at 12:07 pm
Al
I have been away for a while
You look older now....
Is this what the liberals have done to you!
268. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #245198 by Nairb on September 10, 2008 at 12:01 pm
8. There is nearly a 1 in 2 chance of anyone I meet i America being a creationist and a near 1 in 5 chance of being a 17th century stye religious fundamentalist. It's difficult to look people in the eye with that sort of culture around.
269. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #245193 by Nairb on September 10, 2008 at 11:50 am
Hungarian Elephant
I'm not quite sure how it all changed, but there's been a complete reversal of that position. It's now the people who insist that breath tests will close rural pubs who are the unacceptable minority.
270. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #244722 by Nairb on September 9, 2008 at 11:10 am
It seems like the term socialist has different meanings depending where you are.
In many countries in europe the centre left parties are called socialist parties or social democratic parties.
Socialism evolved from extreme forms to more middle of the road policies with mixed economies and endorsing democratic principles.
Those parties usually defend social policies more then the right of centre.
In general I think everyone can gain from good moderate social policies.
Admittedly it can go overboard, but when it does there is usually a correction like with Margareth Thatcher etc.
271. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #242816 by Nairb on September 4, 2008 at 1:45 pm
Following her speech , the way its being reported here is that McCain made an astute choice to make this election a fight about about "Republican values" again, about Obama's lack of experience and some good looks.
Also Mcain has come accross as a fighter and spirited upstanding guy from his time in Vietnam and staying independant from Bush when everyone else had their heads down.
Dont know if any of this is accurate ...
But it all sounds like Mccain may not be so bad ( vice presidents do nothing anyway)
PS: Also I think people who actually spent time at war dont glorify it as much. And they make better decisions then draft dodgers/war mongers
272. Palin: average isn't good enough
Comment #242153 by Nairb on September 3, 2008 at 12:34 pm
Lets not be too hard on US. Its not like we are a lot better anywhere else.
I remember after the last presidential election, everyone in europe had been hoping for a change from Bush and were deeply disappointed and irritated with the Redstate middle America getting out the vote and the blue states not getting it out.
There was a joke here in France
"Look at Bush being elected, people get the politicians they deserve" - *vigorous head nodding, thinking of the 50% turnout
" Americans got Bush"
".... and we got Chirac!!" *groaning sounds ... oh merde!
273. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #240362 by Nairb on August 31, 2008 at 11:43 am
Fanusi
OK lets take a simple model.
Assume 5 generations
Assume each is 20% of population. and each generation is 20 years.
Assume people who make children are in the 20-40 agegroup. Call this generation 2.
Existing childrean at this time in age 0-20 : call it Generation 1.
Now look at what happens in next 20 year period
So any new children born in next 20 years will be in a new generation : Generation 0.
They will progressively replace the Generation 5 ( those in 80 to 100) who are dying of old age.
So at a society level if this Generation2 has only 1 child - in other words the Fertility rate is 1 - then Generation 0 will add 10% to the population.
(each 2 person pair have 1 child)
In that time all of generation 5 will die. This will reduce the population 20%.
The net loss is 10% over the 20 year period.
Do you see it now?
Naturally when you change the age pyramid and vary death rates and Fertility rates you get some variability.
But never anything coming anywhere close to a 50% reduction in Population in a single generation.
274. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #240328 by Nairb on August 31, 2008 at 11:01 am
J.S. Mill's "Utilitarianism", Immanuel Kant's "Groundwork of the Metaphysics of Morals" for example are brilliant and timeless.
275. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #240297 by Nairb on August 31, 2008 at 9:53 am
As some scientist once said.
"as we do further scientific study we can be sure of one thing. We will not find along with the Proton, Neutron, electron some new moral particle - the Moron"
"we will not be able to evaluate morality by counting the moral particles in different hypotheses to choose the best"
276. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #240290 by Nairb on August 31, 2008 at 9:42 am
Saying there is a Moral Absolute is like saying there are No Unicorns.
You might be right, we could even agree, we could be 99% sure in some cases.
But we would never really know for 100% certain.
There can't be any Moral Absolutes no matter how much we agree about a given moral point of view.
277. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #240237 by Nairb on August 31, 2008 at 6:03 am
Nairb, could I finish off by asking one thing? I thought you took umbrage at my saying that a birth rate of 1.1 meant the population would halve in one generation, given that the replacement rate is 2.1. What's wrong with the math here?
278. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #239939 by Nairb on August 30, 2008 at 3:21 pm
Then there's the problem that fanaticism actually increases as you correct for literacy and wealth. Look at bin Laden as the example par excellence.
279. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #239934 by Nairb on August 30, 2008 at 3:13 pm
4) Finally, there's the problem of the relative lack of will and capitulation amidst Europe's governing classes versus the vigour of Islamic identity.
280. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #239921 by Nairb on August 30, 2008 at 2:58 pm
2) I also think the study was being overoptimistic in assuming that European fertility rates would bounce back in one generation.
281. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #239908 by Nairb on August 30, 2008 at 2:37 pm
Yet while we could, and should deal with the ghetto problem, it won't stop what's bred there
282. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #239896 by Nairb on August 30, 2008 at 2:19 pm
Fanusi
The variations from country to country are irrelevant.
The countries with the lowest fertility (Spain, Italy, eastern europe) rates have the lowest muslim populations.
283. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #239866 by Nairb on August 30, 2008 at 1:28 pm
4) I also suggest that there will be no end to the Muslim immigration of its own accord as long as Western nations are less of a basketcase than muslim nations.
284. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #239859 by Nairb on August 30, 2008 at 1:18 pm
3) There is no attenuation of Muslim fanaticism as the generations pass. In fact, second and third generation Muslims are more fanatical than the first-generation. (This is really uncontroversial). This is fed by the expanding numbers, as it makes self-ghettozation easier, and that helps maintain what you could call Islamic ideological purity.
285. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #239855 by Nairb on August 30, 2008 at 12:57 pm
1) Muslim populations in the West have skyrocketed thanks to large scale immigration and also demographic shifts (that's pretty uncontroversial).
286. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #239851 by Nairb on August 30, 2008 at 12:46 pm
2) Native Western populations are declining. The exact amount can be debated, but it seems pretty dire in some cases. Spain's birth rate is 1.1 per couple, which means that the population will halve every generation.
287. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #239451 by Nairb on August 29, 2008 at 3:52 pm
In France the extreme right wing party is Le Pen's National Front.
Unlike other european countries this party has more then negligeable support. Typically its support is around 10% in Presidential elections.
But in 2002 it went as high as 17% in the 2nd round of the Presidential election. This was due to a campaign by Chirac focused on law and order which had an indadvertant positive impact on LePens score and due to splitting of the left's vote amongst many candidates.
In the end Chirac was elected in the 2nd round runoff with lePen, Chirac receiving the highest score in the history of the Republic (82%) . In the first round LePen had 16%, Chirac 19%. The electorate participation was 79%.
In the 2007 presidential election LePen scored 10% which led to calls for his retirement.
Le Pen has been accused and convicted for denying the holocaust in France and Germany.
Excerpts of the National Fronts manifesto
The National Front posts a comprehensive political platform on its website. Amongst other things it argues for:
* A return to traditional values: to include making access to abortion more difficult or illegal; giving an income to mothers who do not go out to work; promoting local traditional culture.
* Greater independence from the European Union and other international organizations.
* The establishment of tariffs or other protectionist measures against cheap imports.
* Reinstatement of the death penalty.
* The end of Non-European immigration and the establishment of the jus sanguinis.
The party opposes immigration, particularly Muslim immigration from North Africa, West Africa and the Middle East. In a standardized pamphlet delivered to all French electors in the 1995 presidential election, Jean-Marie Le Pen proposed the "sending back" of "three million non-Europeans" out of France, by "humane and dignified means".[7]
288. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #239438 by Nairb on August 29, 2008 at 3:01 pm
For comparison with BNP Policy see below
Note : deportation of citizens who commit crimes
Democracy and Freedom
# abolish 'anti-discrimination' laws which prevent people from making a free choice.
# abolish all restrictions on traditional free speech; common law provisions against incitement to violence are the only proper limits in a free society.
BNP Policy on Immigtration
* deport all the two million plus who are here illegally.
* deport all those who commit crimes and whose original nationality was not British.
* offer generous grants to those of foreign descent resident here who wish to leave permanently.
* stop all new immigration except for exceptional cases.
* reject all asylum seekers who passed safe countries on their way to Britain.
289. Atheists: The Last Political Outcasts
Comment #239297 by Nairb on August 29, 2008 at 12:10 pm
Comment #239045 by MPhil
Great comment
100% agreed this term "Evil" is incomprehensible and used only to justify peoples otherwise dubious actions.
290. Channel 4 announces return of Undercover Mosque
Comment #238695 by Nairb on August 28, 2008 at 1:34 pm
Now I know where this muslim demographic explosion shit comes from.
Hugh Fitzgerald of JihadWatch wrote an article on "Douce France" pretending how everyone is asleep while the French Muslims take over.
Another pseudo scientific plonker!
This is JihadWatch "quality analysis"
http://jihadwatch.org/dhimmiwatch/archives/002334.php
Excerpt
You discover that 1 out of every 3 babies born in France today is a Muslim baby. And that means, in 20 years, one of every three 20-year-olds in France will be a Muslim twenty-year-old. And that means, twenty years after that, at present rates of reproduction, France will have a majority Muslim population. Where shall we hide the statues from Marly-le-roi? And the Venus de Milo?
291. Channel 4 announces return of Undercover Mosque
Comment #237983 by Nairb on August 27, 2008 at 1:29 pm
TWP
I haven't really seen any new points or counter arguments. It's getting redundant is all.
At this point I feel it's like trying to argue which color of blue looks best on a persons skin tone. Does that make sense? I wasn't trying to attack anyone.
292. Channel 4 announces return of Undercover Mosque
Comment #237972 by Nairb on August 27, 2008 at 1:19 pm
Fanusi,
I am tired of this too. I haven't had much sleep over the past week. But this is your proposal. And given its reprehensible nature it is difficult to just drop it and let it go.
2) I have defined the crime very clearely indeed.
"When the renunciation of Shariah is required for citizenship, you can these goons and throw them out"
"The fact is that, in the UK for example, only about 33-40% say they want Shariah. We can't deport them all"
"Any form of Shariah leads to Shariah-supremacism."
293. Channel 4 announces return of Undercover Mosque
Comment #237892 by Nairb on August 27, 2008 at 11:34 am
O King
I request arbitrage on your chief Advisor's ill advised and illegal proposal.
*Si non j'organise un coup d'etat avec vos enemies revolutionnaires les mechants qomaks :-)
294. Channel 4 announces return of Undercover Mosque
Comment #237888 by Nairb on August 27, 2008 at 11:28 am
Fanusi,
I've said this - umpteen times now - that we couldn't investigate everyone, though we could investigate potential troublemakers, and we'd get the worst of them. Yes, there'd be those who lie and hide their convictions and are driven underground - are we safer now when they can scream their intentions at the top of their heads and openly proclaim their intentions?
295. Channel 4 announces return of Undercover Mosque
Comment #237874 by Nairb on August 27, 2008 at 11:14 am
Comment #237445 by al-rawandi
Nairb, Quetz,
Renouncing Shariah would be tantamount to apostasy.
296. Channel 4 announces return of Undercover Mosque
Comment #237870 by Nairb on August 27, 2008 at 11:07 am
Coming back to Sharia ...
TWP
[sigh]
Out of all the ideas Fanusi and I threw around, we are still on the deportation issue?
297. Channel 4 announces return of Undercover Mosque
Comment #237440 by Nairb on August 26, 2008 at 1:31 pm
Hold on
Not "saying the want to overthrow the state" is different to "renouncing Sharia"
I presume you are apostate if you renounce Sharia
What % of muslims today in the world have renounced sharia ?
Or what % of muslims have ever renounced sharia?
If the answer is 0% then you are saying deport all muslims!
Can you be clear on what the criteria is?
298. Channel 4 announces return of Undercover Mosque
Comment #237431 by Nairb on August 26, 2008 at 1:15 pm
If sharia is the set of rules that muslims
a)apply as an internal reference
b)live out their lives according to
c)impose on others
Thats 3 different things before we get into what bits are interpreted strictly literaly or not.
So depending on what you ask them you may get wildly different answers.
Fanusi
*dryly* I wouldn't bother to ask. It's simple: advocate replacing the constitution with Shariah and loose your citizenship. Period.
299. Channel 4 announces return of Undercover Mosque
Comment #237416 by Nairb on August 26, 2008 at 12:50 pm
Comment #237266 by Bonzai on August 26
U.K and France, "Multi-Culturalism" seems to work in a perverted way complimentary to old racism because of the cultures already in place. In these countries, there isn't a lot of social mobility and that pedigree and origin seem to count quite a bit. Differences in social class, origin and accents tend to be magnified in these societies.
300. Channel 4 announces return of Undercover Mosque
Comment #237415 by Nairb on August 26, 2008 at 12:48 pm
503. Comment #237343 by Bonzai