Record hot years near impossible without manmade climate change – study

Jan 25, 2016

Photo credit: Fabrice Coffrini/AFP/Getty Images

By Damian Carrington

The world’s run of record-breaking hottest years is extremely unlikely to have happened without the global warming caused by human activities, according to new calculations.

Thirteen of the 15 hottest years in the 150-year-long record occurred between 2000-14 and the researchers found there is a just a 0.01% chance that this happened due to natural variations in the planet’s climate.

2015 was revealed to have smashed all earlier records on Wednesday, after the new study had been completed, meaning the odds that the record run of heat is a fluke are now even lower.

“Natural climate variations just can’t explain the observed recent global heat records, but manmade global warming can,” said Prof Stefan Rahmstorf, at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany and one of the research team.


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2 comments on “Record hot years near impossible without manmade climate change – study

  • @OP – “Natural climate variations just can’t explain the observed recent global heat records, but manmade global warming can,” said Prof Stefan Rahmstorf, at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany

    It should be clear to all but the self-deceiving deluded, that for record-breaking events to be occurring against the natural background cooling trend there is an obvious measurable cause!



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  • http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-35431375
    The past 30 years in Europe have likely been the warmest in more than two millennia, according to new research.

    The study used tree ring records and historical documents to reconstruct yearly temperatures going back 2,100 years.

    Scientists say that past natural variability in temperatures was greater than previously thought.

    As a result, climate models may be underestimating the frequency and severity of heat waves in the future.

    According to the study, Europe has seen an increase in summer warming of 1.3C between 1986 and 2015.

    In this period there has also been an increase in severe heat waves, most notably in 2003, 2010 and 2015.



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